Cloud9 vs. 100 Thieves: 2021 LCS Summer betting analysis

TL;DR

  • Cloud9 enters as favorites with superior mid-jungle synergy despite roster changes
  • 100 Thieves’ bot lane advantage could be decisive if properly exploited
  • Mid lane matchup between Perkz and Abbedagge will determine game outcome
  • Best-of-one format increases upset potential despite statistical advantage
  • Strategic execution and early game coordination will be the deciding factors

Season Opening Showdown: The LCS Summer split kicks off with a thrilling clash between defending champions Cloud9 and the revitalized 100 Thieves roster. This matchup sets the tone for the entire season with both teams carrying distinct advantages and vulnerabilities.

Post-MSI Transition: Cloud9 returns from international competition at MSI 2021, bringing valuable experience against world-class opponents despite their disappointing overall performance. The team now faces the challenge of transitioning back to domestic play while maintaining their championship form.

Format Implications: Under the new LCS structure, teams maintain their spring split standings, placing Cloud9 in first position while 100 Thieves starts in fourth. This positioning adds significant stakes to the opening match, particularly for 100T’s playoff positioning.

Common Strategic Mistake: Many analysts overlook the psychological impact of international tournament fatigue. Teams returning from MSI often struggle in their first domestic matches, creating potential value opportunities for bettors.

Cloud9’s Calculated Risk: The replacement of veteran ADC Zven with rookie K1ng represents one of the most significant roster gambles of the split. While this injects fresh talent, it also creates exploitable vulnerabilities that experienced opponents can target.

Bot Lane Dynamics: K1ng’s LCS debut comes with substantial pressure, facing one of the league’s most established bot lanes in FBI and huhi.

100 Thieves Upgrade: The acquisition of Abbedagge from Schalke 04 provides a substantial mid lane improvement, though synergy development remains the critical unknown factor.

Practical Tip for Analysis: When evaluating roster changes, consider not just individual skill but how new players fit into existing team systems and communication structures.

Optimization Strategy: Teams integrating new players should focus on establishing clear early game communication protocols to minimize coordination errors during critical moments.

Mid-Jungle Priority: The established synergy between Perkz and Blaber gives Cloud9 a decisive advantage in the current meta where mid-priority dictates early game control.

Synergy Development Timeline: Building effective mid-jungle coordination typically requires 15-20 scrim blocks, putting 100 Thieves’ new duo at an immediate disadvantage.

Bot Lane Exploitation: 100 Thieves possesses a clear advantage in the bottom lane with FBI and huhi’s established partnership facing Cloud9’s rookie ADC.

Strategic Execution: The match will be decided by which team can better execute their win conditions while minimizing opponent strengths.

Common Pitfall to Avoid: Overestimating individual lane advantages without considering jungle influence and map-wide resource allocation.

Fudge

Cloud9 vs. 100 Thieves rosters

Cloud9 roster:

  • Top – Ibrahim “Fudge” Allami
  • Jungle – Robert “Blaber” Huang
  • Mid – Luka “Perkz” Perković
  • Bot – Calvin “K1ng” Truong
  • Support – Philippe “Vulcan” Laflamme

100 Thieves roster:

  • Top – Kim “Ssumday” Chan-ho
  • Jungle – Can “Closer” Çelik
  • Mid – Felix “Abbedagge” Braun
  • Bot – Tommy “FBI” Huang
  • Support – Choi “huhi” Jae-hyun

Cloud9 likely to take down 100 Thieves in LCS Summer

Post-MSI Assessment: While Cloud9 may experience some tournament fatigue, they return with enhanced strategic depth and adaptability from facing diverse international playstyles.

Odds Evaluation: Cloud9’s 1.42 odds reflect their favorite status while 100 Thieves at 2.65 presents interesting value for risk-tolerant bettors.

Win Condition Analysis: Targeting Abbedagge’s LCS debut represents Cloud9’s clearest path to victory through mid lane pressure.

Strategic Betting Approach: In best-of-one formats, consider smaller position sizes due to increased variance, despite statistical advantages.

Practical Bankroll Management: Allocate only 2-3% of your betting bankroll to single match wagers, regardless of perceived edge.

Common Betting Mistake: Overweighting recent international performance without considering domestic league dynamics and roster-specific factors.

Fudge

The brawl between Cloud9 and 100 Thieves takes place on Saturday, June 5.

Action Checklist

  • Analyze pre-game drafts for champion priority and composition synergy
  • Monitor first 10 minutes for jungle pathing and early lane dynamics
  • Evaluate mid-jungle coordination through objective control and roam timing
  • Review post-game statistics for confirmation of analytical predictions

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